Weather prediction has been a major challenge in meteorology for many decades. Currently, our group is active in several projects which aim to improve the understanding of processes that limit atmospheric predictability. Originally our focus was on the predictability of weather in midlatitudes (i.e., prediction in a deterministic sense), but more recently we widened our scope and now include subseasonal prediction (implying prediction in a more statistical sense) and the dynamics of extreme events in a changing climate. These activities originated in the DFG-funded research group „PANDOWAE“ and are now mostly funded through the collaborative research center „Waves to Weather“.
Find more information on each of the topics by clicking the images.
|Rossby wave packets in a changing climate
|European heat waves
|Transitions into blocked regimes
|Error growth during blocked regimes
|Waveguideability of midlatitude jets
|Local perspective on upscale error growth